Hungary-Italy, the prediction: Raspadori bis for the Final Four of Nations?

After the magic of the number 10 against England, the Azzurri have the chance to remove the pass for the Final Four. But there is only one possibility: to win against the group leaders

Italy tries to console the disappointment of the World Cup with the Nations League, as much as possible. Yes, because the Azzurri are one win from next June’s finals, which only the first four of each group can access.

Mancini’s team is second after the victory against England (relegated to League B) and faces the true story of the group, which has more than a pinch of Italy on its roster. The Hungary coach is Marco Rossi and on Monday he has two out of three results available to complete the miracle and go through.


It is undoubtedly one of the most prosperous moments in the recent history of Hungary. The Cinderella of the group is one step away from the Finals. An almost impossible prediction result on the eve when you face Italy, Germany and England. After five days, Szalai and his teammates are in the lead after beating the Three Lions twice, complete with away poker, and having collected four points against the Flick national team. After the exclusion from the World Cup and the heavy knockout with Argentina at the beginning of June, Italy has adjusted the shot with two wins, two draws and one knockout, the one suffered 5-2 with Germany.


Hungary’s only defeat in Nations came precisely at the hands of Italy. Three months ago, Barella and Pellegrini decided the match in Cesena, closed by Mancini’s own goal but without consequences on the final result (2-1). Apart from this year’s confrontation, the last match against Hungary dates back to 22 August 2007, when the Hungarians won 3-1 after Di Natale’s momentary advantage. It is the direct clash number 35 between the two national teams: the balance is 17 victories for Italy, nine Hungarian affirmations and eight draws.


Few calculations in Mancini’s head. It is mandatory to win to fly to the Final Four. And the odds seem to give confidence to the Italian flag despite the fact that the trip to Budapest has been fatal several times to the big players this year: the 2 mark is offered at 1.83 on Betfair, at 1.85 on Goldbet and 1.93 on Leovegas. The draw that Marco Rossi would so much like takes place at 3.50 on Bet365 and Snai, at 3.55 on 888sport. And then there is the sign 1, the least probable outcome offered by bookies: it is given at 3.95 on novibet, 4.30 on PlanetWin365 and 4.40 on Goldbet.


Italy hopes that the prediction fully reflects the odds of the bookmakers. The obvious difference in technique and in terms of experience will count up to a certain point given the relentless march of the Magyars. But Mancini wants to give the Italian people an important result after being eliminated from the World Cup. And he wants to do it by relying on the solid defense seen with England, as well as a luxury Raspadori. We are moving towards a match with few overall goals: the 2 + Under 3.5 combo is proposed at 2.40 on Sisal and Better, at 2.45 on Snai.


Just Raspadori is the hottest man forward available to the ‘Mancio’. He should be the only offensive pawn with the guaranteed position given the doubtful conditions of Ciro Immobile. And the Napoli striker wants to repeat himself after the pearl of San Siro against the English: the bookies offer an encore from the former Sassuolo at 3.50, while the most probable scorer is the same Immobile, who pays the stake 3 times played. Concrete possibilities also for Scamacca, at 3.25. Among the hosts, the name of Adam Szalai, match-winner with Germany, proposed at 3.50, stands out above all.

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About David Martin

David Martin is the lead editor for Spark Chronicles. David has been working as a freelance journalist.

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