Weather: Mid-August, the forecast is still uncertain but from the latest elaborations there are important news
Latest updates on temperatures and rainfall in view of the highlight of the summer
Screenings for FerragostoBut are the August holidays really in the balance? To answer this question, we must rely on medium and long-term forecasts which bring out some interesting news; Italy risks finding itself in a sort of no man’s land (map attached) pulled between the Atlantic wet currents and the infamous African anticyclone.
Analyzing the general hemispheric picture it is clear that towards the middle of the month we will have one greater dynamism in Northern Europe, from where the more unstable and cool flows responsible for the waves of bad weather start. If this is confirmed we can expect storm breaks which on several occasions could interrupt the peace and stability typical of this period.
The novelty that emerged from the last update concerns the northernmost part of our country; the anticyclone on these areas will be less granitic and will probably be pressed by wetter and cooler currents at high altitude arriving from the Atlantic and piloted by a depression centered on the British Isles. Northern Italy is likely to find itself in a sort of areas of convergence where completely different masses of air interact and whose contrast can cause extreme weather events (hailstorms, lightning floods, strong gusts of wind), as unfortunately also the recent news reminds us.
Different speech instead on the rest of Italy where the African anticyclone will expand more and more over the Mediterranean basin, supported by boiling masses of air arriving directly from the heart of the Sahara Desert. Even if this situation were to be confirmed, it is reasonable to expect a lot for the day of August 15th Sun with maximum peaks of temperatures that will quickly rise well over 36 ° C during the afternoon hours. Favorite for this great heat will be the Tyrrhenian sectors and the inland areas of Sardinia.
Given the temporal distance and modeling uncertainties, it is not excluded that in the next few days there may be further adjustments, with bad weather that could affect other sectors more or less markedly than those that would seem involved with the current data.
Mid-August: North risk of storms. Elsewhere possible new advance of the African anticyclone