After hours of waiting, two official Russian channels canceled the announcement of the speech with which the president was supposed to announce the referendum for the annexation of Donbass: “Postponed to Wednesday”
The Russian president Vladimir Putin he was supposed to speak to the nation on the evening of Tuesday 20 September – but his speech, expected at 7pm, Italian time, never started, and while Russian TVs canceled the announcement of the intervention, sources explained that the tsar will not speak before Wednesday. There are no official explanations for postponing, or canceling, the speech. Forbes Russia, citing two sources, explains that the pre-recorded speech should air at 8 am local time (7 am in Italy) on Wednesday morning. The chief editor of Russia Today, Margarita Simonyan, wrote about her on the Telegram channel: “Go to sleep.”
Vladimir Putin was expected to speak to the country about referendums proclaimed by the pro-Russian authorities of Donbass to support their request to enter the Russian Federation and thus bring the clash with Kiev to a stage of further tension. But the Kremlin leader seems to have decided to buy time, perhaps in the hope that the international community will press on Ukraine for concessions that can satisfy Moscow. The reactions, for now, have been in the opposite direction. Something could come out of a telephone conversation that should take place between the Russian president and the Frenchman Macron.
The annexation referendums will start the day after tomorrow in the regions still occupied by the Russians, Donetsk, Lugansk, Kherson, Zaporizhzhia and they will certainly give the expected result: under the “protection” of the Russian army the overwhelming majority of the population will vote to leave the Ukrainian republic and enter the Federation.
Of course, the results will be more than questionable, given the situation (of some semblance of an election campaign, not even a hint, just to name one). And it appears clear that the recourse to the polls was accelerated by the recent advance of the Kiev troops. In November, when the local leaders had in mind to celebrate the anniversary of the 1917 revolution (moved from seven to four and with another name from Putin) some of the areas called to vote could no longer be in the hands of the Russians.
It is also a strong pressure on the Kremlin which could also be tempted to abandon part of the separatists to their fate.
Among those who most ardently approved the referendum initiative is former president Dmitry Medvedev, who has become one of the most ardent supporters of total war. Medvedev explained well what the consequences of referendums and annexations would be. Consequences that could also lead to a nuclear confrontation.
The vote is expected to take place in the four Ukrainian regions from Friday to next Tuesday. Then the results will be announced and then Russia will have to decide what to do. If he accepts the “will” of the Ukrainian citizens of those areas to “finally reunite with the motherland”, as Medvedev wished, then the annexation will proceed swiftly.
However, not only the oblasts currently in the hands of the pro-Russian militias or the regular army would pass under the leadership of Moscow. Those bands and cities that are part of the four regions but which are currently controlled by the Ukrainians would also become an integral part of the territory of the Federation. Slovyansk, Kramatorsk, just to name two.
At that point, for Russia it would be territories of the “homeland” unduly occupied by the enemy. Which therefore would be conducting its war actions on Russian soil. To free them, as well as to repel any attacks against other parts of Russia, the military doctrine changed in recent years by Putin provides for the possibility of responding by any means availableincluding the nuclear deterrent.
For years, on the other hand, the senior leaders of the Russian Army have been longing for the use of “theater” atomic bombs., that is to say of moderate power which, according to them, could be used without triggering the reaction of Washington and NATO. In any case, Moscow is moving to increase the availability of men to be thrown into the fray and to make the army more obedient, while Putin seems to continue not to want to proclaim general mobilizationas the hawks would like.
New recruitment centers are always opening up, even for foreigners, and there are plans to increase penalties for those who do not play the game. The Duma has passed a measure with up to 15 years in prison. And the measures also apply in the case of a simple “combat action”. Therefore, the current Special Military Operation is included.
September 20, 2022 (change September 20, 2022 | 22:17)
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